Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 17 March 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 17th strongest of the 130 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 30 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Storm Warning issued March 16 at 12:48PM CDT until March 16 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- August 9, 2026 · score 22 · 0.0 km
- August 8, 2026 · score 22 · 0.0 km
- August 7, 2026 · score 22 · 0.0 km
How we know
7 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 22 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 22 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.66/1 |
| Coordinates | 44.3000, -85.6000 |
| Nearest City | Traverse City (51 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-16T17:48:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Storm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.63130436d43d4f67ddcf0a9416c57b6c |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-03-16T17:48:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-03-16T18:26:32.518Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Storm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South Fox Island 5NM offshore; Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to mid lake; Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM offshore to mid lake; Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to Mid Lake; Grand Haven to Whitehall MI; Whitehall to Pentwater MI; Pentwater to Manistee MI; Marquette to Munising MI; Munising to Grand Marais MI; Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI; Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border Beyond 5NM from shore; Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Storm Warning issued March 16 at 12:48PM CDT until March 16 at 10:00PM CDT by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI |
| Expires | 2026-03-16T21:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan WI |
| HasExactCoords | false |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.63130436d43d4f67ddcf0a9416c57b6c42bf9bf6.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bb2e4a4ea573a80c407336062673f73288c3ca4c.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2263c956dc51e6632be12b6ba90db6da887d88d.005.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f2263c956dc51e6632be12b6ba90db6da887d88d.004.1"] |
| Iem TypeSummary | 5 |
| Iem Magnitude | 0.12 |
| Iem Unit | Inch |
| Iem City | Tustin |
| Iem County | Osceola |
| Iem State | MI |
| Iem Wfo | GRR |
| Iem Remark | Radial ice measurement on a twig. |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"iem_R_43.820_-85.410_1773675060000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773675060000,"latitude":43.82,"longitude":-85.41},{"id":"iem_R_43.880_-85.850_1773675120000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773675120000,"latitude":43.88,"longitude":-85.85},{"id":"iem_5_44.330_-85.210_1773669600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773669600000,"latitude":44.33,"longitude":-85.21},{"id":"iem_5_44.300_-84.760_1773666000000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773666000000,"latitude":44.3,"longitude":-84.76},{"id":"iem_5_44.240_-85.090_1773662400000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773662400000,"latitude":44.24,"longitude":-85.09},{"id":"iem_5_44.100_-85.460_1773662100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1773662100000,"latitude":44.1,"longitude":-85.46}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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